Post by Macmoish on Nov 26, 2011 8:18:40 GMT
From a Year Ago....
GUARDIAN/David Lacy - The Sack Race
The only safe bet is that Chelsea's manager will lead the sack race
Under Chelsea's twitchy owner Andr� Villas-Boas will always be favourite to be the first Premier League manager to lose his job
Sack races, real sack races, are run for fun. The more fallers the funnier. Nobody would seriously contemplate placing bets on the winners.
In football it is the other way round. Here the starters for the sack race line up in August and the bookies are open for business. Betting on who will be the first manager to lose his job is a bit like going to the Grand National and staking a wager on which horse will be shot, but there is never a shortage of takers.
Round about now the ground begins to shift beneath the feet of more than a few managers and some have already gone. The Premier League clubs, however, again appear to be holding off at least until December and the season of goodwill. Nothing says "Happy Christmas" so much as a chairman's vote of confidence in the boss shortly followed by an announcement that the club has reluctantly decided to part company with him.
The odds against the next to go are often not so much a reflection on the man's managerial capabilities as the trigger-happiness of his employers. Just before the present season began there was a feeling that Neil Warnock might be an early casualty at Queens Park Rangers. Warnock, an experienced and able manager, had just brought QPR back into the Premier League but the gossip was that the owners wanted a bigger name. Then the club was sold, more money became available for new signings, Warnock bought well, the team is in the top half of the table and now the idea of his leaving Loftus Road is absurd.
Blackburn Rovers' Steve Kean remains among the favourites to be shown the door and will stay there, along with Roberto Mart�nez, the Wigan manager, unless things begin to look up in mid-Lancs. Then again Rovers' Indian owners have shown considerable faith in Kean's ability to turn things around, even if his revised contract is believed to halve the compensation he would receive after being dismissed, while the Wigan chairman Dave Whelan's continued support for Mart�nez is almost touching.
One recent betting list offered 12-1 against Harry Redknapp leaving Tottenham, compared to the 66-1 on Alan Pardew parting company with Newcastle. Something wrong here, surely, but this may have less to do with Redknapp's recent minor heart operation than his appearance in court in the new year as a co-defendant answering charges of tax evasion during his time at Portsmouth. If football were the only consideration Harry would surely be out there with Sir Alex Ferguson at 88-1.
For the cautious punters, the �2 each-way brigade, whoever happens to be managing Chelsea at any given time remains the safest bet to go soon. Describing Andr� Villas-Boas as "the under-pressure Chelsea manager" is tautologous. The moment anybody takes the job at Stamford Bridge he is under pressure and will be so long as fickle Roman Abramovich owns the club.
The reports that have accompanied Chelsea's three losses in four Premier League games, followed by Wednesday's defeat by Bayer Leverkusen, which has left their chances of reaching the knockout stage of the Champions League dependant on beating an in-form Valencia at home or at least holding them 0-0, bear a remarkable similarity to the stuff that was being put out during difficult periods under Luiz Felipe Scolari and Carlo Ancelotti: murmurs below decks about tactics and team selection, grumbles among the old guard and so on.
Naturally Villas-Boas is way up on the list of managers expected to go sooner rather than later. The Valencia game could be his calvary although Abramovich does have other, more pressing things to occupy his mind. Amid the heavy financial implications of his high court case it must be doubted he has given much thought to whether Chelsea's defence is holding too high a line.
Not that mid-season changes of manager are necessarily bad. Last December claimed Chris Hughton, who left Newcastle amid much sympathy at the injustice of it all. Unfair it may have been but under Pardew Newcastle have become the Premier League's likely lads and flogging Andy Carroll to Liverpool for �35m on 31 January would have been the sale of the new century had Chelsea not agreed to buy Fernando Torres from Liverpool for �50m on the same day.
Meanwhile, Martin O'Neill and Mark Hughes remain among those out of a job, which seems a bit of a waste. Oh and Sven-Goran Eriksson is available again in case anyone asks.
www.guardian.co.uk/football/blog/2011/nov/25/premier-league-sack-race-managers
GUARDIAN/David Lacy - The Sack Race
The only safe bet is that Chelsea's manager will lead the sack race
Under Chelsea's twitchy owner Andr� Villas-Boas will always be favourite to be the first Premier League manager to lose his job
Sack races, real sack races, are run for fun. The more fallers the funnier. Nobody would seriously contemplate placing bets on the winners.
In football it is the other way round. Here the starters for the sack race line up in August and the bookies are open for business. Betting on who will be the first manager to lose his job is a bit like going to the Grand National and staking a wager on which horse will be shot, but there is never a shortage of takers.
Round about now the ground begins to shift beneath the feet of more than a few managers and some have already gone. The Premier League clubs, however, again appear to be holding off at least until December and the season of goodwill. Nothing says "Happy Christmas" so much as a chairman's vote of confidence in the boss shortly followed by an announcement that the club has reluctantly decided to part company with him.
The odds against the next to go are often not so much a reflection on the man's managerial capabilities as the trigger-happiness of his employers. Just before the present season began there was a feeling that Neil Warnock might be an early casualty at Queens Park Rangers. Warnock, an experienced and able manager, had just brought QPR back into the Premier League but the gossip was that the owners wanted a bigger name. Then the club was sold, more money became available for new signings, Warnock bought well, the team is in the top half of the table and now the idea of his leaving Loftus Road is absurd.
Blackburn Rovers' Steve Kean remains among the favourites to be shown the door and will stay there, along with Roberto Mart�nez, the Wigan manager, unless things begin to look up in mid-Lancs. Then again Rovers' Indian owners have shown considerable faith in Kean's ability to turn things around, even if his revised contract is believed to halve the compensation he would receive after being dismissed, while the Wigan chairman Dave Whelan's continued support for Mart�nez is almost touching.
One recent betting list offered 12-1 against Harry Redknapp leaving Tottenham, compared to the 66-1 on Alan Pardew parting company with Newcastle. Something wrong here, surely, but this may have less to do with Redknapp's recent minor heart operation than his appearance in court in the new year as a co-defendant answering charges of tax evasion during his time at Portsmouth. If football were the only consideration Harry would surely be out there with Sir Alex Ferguson at 88-1.
For the cautious punters, the �2 each-way brigade, whoever happens to be managing Chelsea at any given time remains the safest bet to go soon. Describing Andr� Villas-Boas as "the under-pressure Chelsea manager" is tautologous. The moment anybody takes the job at Stamford Bridge he is under pressure and will be so long as fickle Roman Abramovich owns the club.
The reports that have accompanied Chelsea's three losses in four Premier League games, followed by Wednesday's defeat by Bayer Leverkusen, which has left their chances of reaching the knockout stage of the Champions League dependant on beating an in-form Valencia at home or at least holding them 0-0, bear a remarkable similarity to the stuff that was being put out during difficult periods under Luiz Felipe Scolari and Carlo Ancelotti: murmurs below decks about tactics and team selection, grumbles among the old guard and so on.
Naturally Villas-Boas is way up on the list of managers expected to go sooner rather than later. The Valencia game could be his calvary although Abramovich does have other, more pressing things to occupy his mind. Amid the heavy financial implications of his high court case it must be doubted he has given much thought to whether Chelsea's defence is holding too high a line.
Not that mid-season changes of manager are necessarily bad. Last December claimed Chris Hughton, who left Newcastle amid much sympathy at the injustice of it all. Unfair it may have been but under Pardew Newcastle have become the Premier League's likely lads and flogging Andy Carroll to Liverpool for �35m on 31 January would have been the sale of the new century had Chelsea not agreed to buy Fernando Torres from Liverpool for �50m on the same day.
Meanwhile, Martin O'Neill and Mark Hughes remain among those out of a job, which seems a bit of a waste. Oh and Sven-Goran Eriksson is available again in case anyone asks.
www.guardian.co.uk/football/blog/2011/nov/25/premier-league-sack-race-managers